Single poll

INSA poll of 1 May 2024 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
22 to 29 Apr 2024
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • AfD30.0%-1.0
  • CDU20.0%-1.0
  • Linke16.0%-2.0
  • BSW16.0%+3.0
  • SPD7.0%+1.0
  • Grüne5.0%±0
  • FDP2.0%±0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Mar 2024.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 Apr 2024, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Mar 2024, BSW gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 6.5 points higher and Linke 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW +6.5average 9.5
  • Linke -4.0average 20.0
  • AfD -3.8average 33.8
  • FDP -1.5average 3.5
  • CDU +1.3average 18.7
  • SPD -1.3average 8.3
  • Grüne +0.7average 4.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 28 seatsCDU: 19 seatsLinke: 15 seatsBSW: 15 seatsSPD: 6 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD28
  • CDU19
  • Linke15
  • BSW15
  • SPD6
  • Grüne5
  • AfD + CDU47 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + BSW58 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + SPD49 of 88
  • AfD + BSW + SPD49 of 88
  • CDU + Linke + BSW49 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne48 of 88
  • AfD + BSW + Grüne48 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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