INSA poll of 19 March 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- FUNKE Medien Thüringen
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD31.0%±0
- CDU21.0%+1.0
- Linke18.0%+3.0
- BSW13.0%-4.0
- SPD6.0%±0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- FDP2.0%-1.0
- WerteUnion1.0%
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jan 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jan 2024, BSW loses 4.0 points, Linke gains 3.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 3.5 points higher and AfD 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +3.5average 9.5
- AfD -2.8average 33.8
- CDU +2.3average 18.7
- SPD -2.3average 8.3
- Linke -2.0average 20.0
- FDP -1.5average 3.5
- Grüne +0.7average 4.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD29
- CDU20
- Linke17
- BSW12
- SPD5
- Grüne5
- AfD + CDU49 of 88
- AfD + Linke46 of 88
- CDU + Linke + BSW49 of 88
- AfD + BSW + SPD46 of 88
- AfD + BSW + Grüne46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.