INSA poll of 17 January 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- FUNKE Medien Thüringen
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 15 Jan 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD31.0%-3.0
- CDU20.0%-2.0
- BSW17.0%
- Linke15.0%-5.0
- SPD6.0%-3.0
- Grüne5.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%-4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Nov 2023.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 Jan 2024, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Nov 2023, Linke loses 5.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 13.0 points higher and Linke 7.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jan 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +13.0average 4.0
- Linke -7.0average 22.0
- AfD -5.3average 36.3
- CDU +2.0average 18.0
- SPD -2.0average 8.0
- Grüne +1.0average 4.0
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD29
- CDU19
- BSW16
- Linke14
- SPD5
- Grüne5
- AfD + CDU48 of 88
- AfD + BSW45 of 88
- CDU + BSW + Linke49 of 88
- AfD + Linke + SPD48 of 88
- AfD + Linke + Grüne48 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.