Single poll

INSA poll of 9 November 2023 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
30 Oct 2023 to 7 Nov 2023
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD34.0%+2.0
  • CDU22.0%+1.0
  • Linke20.0%-2.0
  • SPD9.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Grüne4.0%-2.0
  • Others7.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Sep 2023.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2023 to 7 Nov 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Sep 2023, AfD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.7 points higher and Linke 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.7average 19.3
  • Linke -2.5average 22.5
  • AfD +2.0average 32.0
  • SPD -1.0average 10.0
  • FDP -1.0average 5.0
  • Grüne -0.5average 4.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 35 seatsCDU: 23 seatsLinke: 21 seatsSPD: 9 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD35
  • CDU23
  • Linke21
  • SPD9
  • AfD + CDU58 of 88
  • AfD + Linke56 of 88
  • CDU + Linke + SPD53 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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