Pollster and election
INSA on the Schleswig-Holstein state election
13 polls since 29 April 2017, the latest from 14 July 2026 for BILD. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has CDU -3.0 and AfD +1.5.
- CDU27.0%-12.0
- AfD18.0%+4.0
- Grüne17.0%+4.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%
- FDP6.0%+2.0
- SSW6.0%±0
- Others4.0%+1.0
27.0%
-12.0
CDU
18.0%
+4.0
AfD
17.0%
+4.0
Grüne
15.0%
-1.0
SPD
7.0%
Linke
6.0%
+2.0
FDP
6.0%
±0
SSW
4.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 22 Jan 2025.
Trend
All INSA figures for the Schleswig-Holstein state election
Accuracy
INSA before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 May 2022 (poll 3 May 2022)2.8 ptsbiggest miss CDU -7.4
- Election 7 May 2017 (poll 29 Apr 2017)1.1 ptsbiggest miss SPD +1.8
Archive
All 13 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | Grüne | SPD | Linke | FDP | SSW | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 14 Jul 2026 | 27 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| INSA | 22 Jan 2025 | 39 | 14 | 13 | 16 | – | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA | 15 Nov 2023 | 40 | 12 | 16 | 15 | – | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| INSA | 25 Apr 2023 | 39 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 3 May 2022 | 36 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 29 Mar 2022 | 28 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 3 |
| INSA | 2 Feb 2022 | 25 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 24 Nov 2021 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 19 May 2021 | 25 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| INSA | 25 Nov 2020 | 33 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 28 Jan 2020 | 28 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 4 |
| INSA | 8 Feb 2019 | 30 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 29 Apr 2017 | 33 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 |