Pollster and election
INSA on the Saxony state election
20 polls since 12 June 2018, the latest from 21 May 2026 for NIUS. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has AfD ±0 and CDU ±0. House effect since 21 May 2024: CDU -4.8, AfD +3.0, BSW +1.5.
- AfD42.0%+7.0
- CDU21.0%-5.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- BSW7.0%-4.0
- SPD6.0%±0
- Grüne6.0%+1.0
- Others9.0%+1.0
42.0%
+7.0
AfD
21.0%
-5.0
CDU
9.0%
±0
Linke
7.0%
-4.0
BSW
6.0%
±0
SPD
6.0%
+1.0
Grüne
9.0%
+1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 7 Jun 2025.
Trend
All INSA figures for the Saxony state election
Accuracy
INSA before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 1 Sep 2024 (poll 24 Aug 2024)1.3 ptsbiggest miss BSW +3.2
- Election 1 Sep 2019 (poll 27 Aug 2019)2.0 ptsbiggest miss Linke +4.6
Archive
All 20 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | Linke | BSW | SPD | Grüne | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 21 May 2026 | 42 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| INSA | 7 Jun 2025 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| INSA | 24 Aug 2024 | 32 | 30 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 16 Aug 2024 | 32 | 29 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| INSA | 19 Jun 2024 | 32 | 30 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| INSA | 19 Mar 2024 | 34 | 30 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| INSA | 31 Aug 2023 | 35 | 29 | 9 | – | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| INSA | 7 Apr 2022 | 28 | 25 | 9 | – | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 16 Aug 2021 | 25 | 34 | 13 | – | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| INSA | 25 May 2021 | 26 | 24 | 11 | – | 6 | 13 | 8 |
| INSA | 4 Jan 2021 | 26 | 34 | 11 | – | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| INSA | 8 Jul 2020 | 26 | 36 | 11 | – | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| INSA | 27 Aug 2019 | 25 | 29 | 15 | – | 8 | 11 | 3 |
| INSA | 6 Aug 2019 | 25 | 28 | 16 | – | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| INSA | 13 Jun 2019 | 25 | 24 | 16 | – | 7 | 16 | 2 |
| INSA | 26 Apr 2019 | 26 | 28 | 16 | – | 10 | 9 | 2 |
| INSA | 5 Apr 2019 | 25 | 28 | 17 | – | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 20 Dec 2018 | 25 | 29 | 18 | – | 10 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 31 Aug 2018 | 25 | 28 | 18 | – | 11 | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 12 Jun 2018 | 24 | 32 | 19 | – | 9 | 6 | 4 |