Single poll

INSA poll of 16 August 2021 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Leipziger Volkszeitung
Fieldwork period
2 to 9 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU34.0%+10.0
  • AfD25.0%-1.0
  • Linke13.0%+2.0
  • SPD8.0%+2.0
  • FDP8.0%-4.0
  • Grüne7.0%-6.0
  • Others5.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 May 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Leipziger Volkszeitung.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 May 2021, CDU gains 10.0 points, Grüne loses 6.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 6.7 points higher and Grüne 5.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +6.7average 27.3
  • Grüne -5.0average 12.0
  • AfD -4.6average 29.6
  • Linke +3.4average 9.6
  • FDP +1.1average 6.9
  • SPD +0.7average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 43 seatsAfD: 32 seatsLinke: 16 seatsSPD: 10 seatsFDP: 10 seatsGrüne: 9 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU43
  • AfD32
  • Linke16
  • SPD10
  • FDP10
  • Grüne9
  • CDU + AfD75 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + SPD69 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + FDP69 of 120
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne68 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + FDP63 of 120
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne62 of 120
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne62 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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