INSA poll of 25 May 2021 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU24.0%-10.0
- Grüne13.0%+3.0
- FDP12.0%+7.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- SPD6.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jan 2021.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 May 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jan 2021, CDU loses 10.0 points, FDP gains 7.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 5.1 points higher and AfD 3.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +5.1average 6.9
- AfD -3.6average 29.6
- CDU -3.3average 27.3
- Linke +1.4average 9.6
- SPD -1.3average 7.3
- Grüne +1.0average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- AfD34
- CDU31
- Grüne17
- FDP16
- Linke14
- SPD8
- AfD + CDU65 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + FDP67 of 120
- AfD + Grüne + Linke65 of 120
- AfD + FDP + Linke64 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + FDP64 of 120
- CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 120
- CDU + FDP + Linke61 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.