Single poll

INSA poll of 12 June 2018 for the Saxony state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
4 to 11 Jun 2018
Respondents
1,009
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU32.0%
  • AfD24.0%
  • Linke19.0%
  • SPD9.0%
  • FDP6.0%
  • Grüne6.0%
  • Others4.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 3.0 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -3.0average 12.0
  • Grüne +2.0average 4.0
  • CDU -1.0average 33.0
  • AfD +1.0average 23.0
  • Linke +1.0average 18.0
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.

CDU: 40 seatsAfD: 30 seatsLinke: 24 seatsSPD: 11 seatsFDP: 8 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 61120of 120 seats
  • CDU40
  • AfD30
  • Linke24
  • SPD11
  • FDP8
  • Grüne7
  • CDU + AfD70 of 120
  • CDU + Linke64 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + SPD65 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + FDP62 of 120
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne61 of 120
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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