INSA poll of 31 August 2018 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 1,040
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU28.0%-4.0
- AfD25.0%+1.0
- Linke18.0%-1.0
- SPD11.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Grüne7.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,040 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jun 2018, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.0average 30.0
- FDP +2.0average 5.0
- Grüne +1.0average 6.0
- AfD ±0average 25.0
- Linke ±0average 18.0
- SPD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU35
- AfD31
- Linke22
- SPD14
- FDP9
- Grüne9
- CDU + AfD66 of 120
- CDU + Linke + SPD71 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD67 of 120
- CDU + Linke + FDP66 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne66 of 120
- AfD + Linke + FDP62 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne62 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.