INSA poll of 20 December 2018 for the Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU29.0%+1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- Linke18.0%±0
- SPD10.0%-1.0
- Grüne9.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Aug 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Dec 2018, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Aug 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 6.9
- SPD -1.1average 11.1
- AfD +0.7average 24.3
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
- CDU -0.3average 29.3
- Linke +0.1average 17.9
Seat projection from this poll
120 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning two constituencies.
- CDU36
- AfD31
- Linke22
- SPD13
- Grüne11
- FDP7
- CDU + AfD67 of 120
- CDU + Linke + SPD71 of 120
- CDU + Linke + Grüne69 of 120
- AfD + Linke + SPD66 of 120
- CDU + Linke + FDP65 of 120
- AfD + Linke + Grüne64 of 120
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.