Pollster and election
INSA on the European election
16 polls since 25 October 2018, the latest from 1 June 2024 for BILD am Sonntag. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has CDU/CSU -1.1 and Grüne -1.1. House effect since 9 Jun 2022: Grüne -3.3, AfD +1.8, SPD +1.3.
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Others11.0%+2.0
29.0%
-1.0
CDU/CSU
16.0%
-1.0
AfD
14.0%
±0
SPD
13.0%
±0
Grüne
7.0%
±0
BSW
4.0%
±0
FDP
3.0%
±0
Linke
3.0%
±0
Freie Wähler
11.0%
+2.0
Others
Change compared with the INSA poll of 25 May 2024.
Trend
All INSA figures for the European election
Accuracy
INSA before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 9 Jun 2024 (poll 1 Jun 2024)0.6 ptsbiggest miss FDP -1.2
- Election 26 May 2019 (poll 23 May 2019)1.1 ptsbiggest miss FDP +2.6
Archive
All 16 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU/CSU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | BSW | FDP | Linke | Freie Wähler | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 1 Jun 2024 | 29 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| INSA | 25 May 2024 | 30 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| INSA | 16 May 2024 | 29 | 17 | 15.5 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 27 Apr 2024 | 29 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| INSA | 10 Apr 2024 | 28.5 | 19 | 16.5 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| INSA | 13 Mar 2024 | 28.5 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 5.5 | 6 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 13 Feb 2024 | 27 | 22 | 16 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1 |
| INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 15 | – | 7 | 5 | – | 6 |
| INSA | 23 May 2019 | 28 | 12 | 15.5 | 18 | – | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 16 May 2019 | 28 | 12 | 15 | 18 | – | 7.5 | 8 | 2.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 9 May 2019 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 19 | – | 7 | 8 | 2.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 10 Apr 2019 | 29 | 12 | 16 | 16 | – | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 9 Mar 2019 | 29 | 12 | 16 | 15 | – | 9.5 | 9 | 2.5 | 3 |
| INSA | 1 Feb 2019 | 30 | 12 | 15 | 17 | – | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 12 Dec 2018 | 30 | 14.5 | 16.5 | 17.5 | – | 9 | 9.5 | – | 3 |
| INSA | 25 Oct 2018 | 27 | 16 | 16 | 20 | – | 8 | 10 | – | 3 |