Single poll

INSA poll of 9 May 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
3 to 6 May 2019
Respondents
2,089
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+3.0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler2.5%-0.5
  • Die PARTEI1.5%-0.5
  • Piraten1.0%±0
  • Tierschutzpartei1.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%+1.0

Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Apr 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,089 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Apr 2019, Grüne gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.9 points lower and AfD 2.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -3.9average 31.9
  • AfD +2.6average 10.4
  • SPD -2.1average 17.1
  • Linke +1.6average 6.4
  • FDP -0.6average 7.6
  • Grüne +0.2average 18.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 28 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsSPD: 15 seatsAfD: 13 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 7 seatsFreie Wähler: 3 seatsPiraten: 1 seatDie PARTEI: 1 seatTierschutzpartei: 1 seatMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU28
  • Grüne19
  • SPD15
  • AfD13
  • Linke8
  • FDP7
  • Freie Wähler3
  • Piraten1
  • Die PARTEI1
  • Tierschutzpartei1
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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