Single poll

INSA poll of 16 May 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
10 to 13 May 2019
Respondents
2,044
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • AfD12.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP7.5%+0.5
  • Freie Wähler2.5%±0
  • Die PARTEI2.0%+0.5
  • Piraten1.5%+0.5
  • Tierschutzpartei1.5%+0.5
  • Others4.0%±0

Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 May 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,044 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 May 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 May 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower and SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.1average 30.1
  • SPD -1.6average 16.6
  • Linke +1.3average 6.7
  • Die PARTEI -1.0average 3.0
  • FDP +0.8average 6.7
  • Freie Wähler -0.5average 3.0
  • AfD +0.4average 11.6
  • Grüne -0.1average 18.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 28 seatsGrüne: 18 seatsSPD: 15 seatsAfD: 12 seatsFDP: 8 seatsLinke: 8 seatsPiraten: 2 seatsFreie Wähler: 2 seatsDie PARTEI: 2 seatsTierschutzpartei: 1 seatMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU28
  • Grüne18
  • SPD15
  • AfD12
  • FDP8
  • Linke8
  • Piraten2
  • Freie Wähler2
  • Die PARTEI2
  • Tierschutzpartei1
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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