Single poll

INSA poll of 10 April 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
28 Mar 2019 to 1 Apr 2019
Respondents
4,000
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne16.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.5
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%+0.5
  • Die PARTEI2.0%+0.5
  • Tierschutzpartei2.0%+0.5
  • Piraten1.0%±0
  • Others3.0%±0

Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Mar 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 4,000 people were surveyed from 28 Mar 2019 to 1 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Mar 2019, FDP loses 1.5 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 3.7 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -3.7average 32.7
  • Grüne -3.0average 19.0
  • AfD +1.7average 10.3
  • Linke +1.7average 6.3
  • SPD -0.7average 16.7
  • FDP +0.7average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 28 seatsSPD: 16 seatsGrüne: 16 seatsAfD: 12 seatsFDP: 8 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFreie Wähler: 3 seatsDie PARTEI: 2 seatsTierschutzpartei: 2 seatsPiraten: 1 seatMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU28
  • SPD16
  • Grüne16
  • AfD12
  • FDP8
  • Linke8
  • Freie Wähler3
  • Die PARTEI2
  • Tierschutzpartei2
  • Piraten1
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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