Single poll

INSA poll of 9 March 2019 for the European election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
27 Feb 2019 to 1 Mar 2019
Respondents
4,000
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-2.0
  • AfD12.0%±0
  • FDP9.5%+1.5
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler2.5%-0.5
  • Die PARTEI1.5%-0.5
  • Tierschutzpartei1.5%+0.5
  • Piraten1.0%±0
  • Others3.0%±0

Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Feb 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 4,000 people were surveyed from 27 Feb 2019 to 1 Mar 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Feb 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.7 points lower and Grüne 4.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -4.7average 33.7
  • Grüne -4.3average 19.3
  • FDP +2.5average 7.0
  • Linke +2.3average 6.7
  • AfD +2.0average 10.0
  • SPD -1.0average 17.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 29 seatsSPD: 16 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 12 seatsFDP: 10 seatsLinke: 9 seatsFreie Wähler: 2 seatsPiraten: 1 seatDie PARTEI: 1 seatTierschutzpartei: 1 seatMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU29
  • SPD16
  • Grüne15
  • AfD12
  • FDP10
  • Linke9
  • Freie Wähler2
  • Piraten1
  • Die PARTEI1
  • Tierschutzpartei1
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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