INSA poll of 1 February 2019 for the European election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 2,056
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-0.5
- SPD15.0%-1.5
- AfD12.0%-2.5
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Die PARTEI2.0%
- Piraten1.0%
- Tierschutzpartei1.0%
- Others3.0%±0
Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Dec 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 2,056 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Jan 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Dec 2018, AfD loses 2.5 points, SPD loses 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 5.0 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -5.0average 35.0
- Grüne -3.0average 20.0
- AfD +2.0average 10.0
- Linke +2.0average 6.0
- SPD ±0average 15.0
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.
- CDU/CSU29
- Grüne17
- SPD15
- AfD12
- FDP8
- Linke8
- Freie Wähler3
- Die PARTEI2
- Piraten1
- Tierschutzpartei1
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.