INSA poll of 31 July 2023 for the European election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-2.0
- AfD23.0%+11.0
- SPD19.0%+3.5
- Grüne15.0%-3.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%-2.0
- Others6.0%+3.0
Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2019.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2019, AfD gains 11.0 points, SPD gains 3.5 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 6.0 points lower and AfD 4.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -6.0average 21.0
- AfD +4.5average 18.5
- CDU/CSU +4.0average 22.0
- FDP +3.5average 3.5
- SPD -2.0average 21.0
- Linke +1.5average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.
- CDU/CSU27
- AfD23
- SPD19
- Grüne15
- FDP7
- Linke5
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.