Single poll

INSA poll of 13 February 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
t-online
Fieldwork period
8 to 12 Feb 2024
Respondents
2,101
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • AfD22.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%-3.0
  • Grüne10.5%-4.5
  • BSW5.5%
  • Linke4.5%-0.5
  • Freie Wähler3.5%
  • FDP3.0%-4.0
  • Tierschutzpartei3.0%
  • Piraten1.0%
  • Die PARTEI1.0%
  • Familie1.0%
  • Volt1.0%
  • Others1.0%-5.0

Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jul 2023.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,101 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Feb 2024, method Online, commissioned by t-online.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jul 2023, Grüne loses 4.5 points, FDP loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 7.0 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +7.0average 9.0
  • Grüne -2.5average 13.0
  • BSW -1.5average 7.0
  • Linke +1.5average 3.0
  • Freie Wähler -1.5average 5.0
  • FDP -1.5average 4.5
  • Tierschutzpartei +1.5average 1.5
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 28.0
  • AfD -1.0average 23.0
  • Die PARTEI -0.5average 1.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 26 seatsAfD: 22 seatsSPD: 16 seatsGrüne: 10 seatsBSW: 5 seatsLinke: 4 seatsFDP: 3 seatsFreie Wähler: 3 seatsTierschutzpartei: 3 seatsPiraten: 1 seatDie PARTEI: 1 seatFamilie: 1 seatVolt: 1 seatMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU26
  • AfD22
  • SPD16
  • Grüne10
  • BSW5
  • Linke4
  • FDP3
  • Freie Wähler3
  • Tierschutzpartei3
  • Piraten1
  • Die PARTEI1
  • Familie1
  • Volt1
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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