Single poll

INSA poll of 13 March 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
t-online
Fieldwork period
8 to 11 Mar 2024
Respondents
2,100
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU28.5%+1.5
  • AfD20.0%-2.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%+0.5
  • FDP6.0%+3.0
  • BSW5.5%±0
  • Linke4.5%±0
  • Freie Wähler2.5%-1.0
  • Tierschutzpartei2.0%-1.0
  • Die PARTEI1.0%±0
  • Piraten0.5%-0.5
  • Familie0.5%-0.5
  • Volt0.5%-0.5
  • Others1.5%+0.5

Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Feb 2024.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,100 people were surveyed from 8 to 11 Mar 2024, method Online, commissioned by t-online.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Feb 2024, FDP gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 5.0 points lower and AfD 4.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -5.0average 16.0
  • AfD +4.0average 16.0
  • SPD +4.0average 12.0
  • CDU/CSU -3.0average 31.5
  • FDP +3.0average 3.0
  • Linke +2.5average 2.0
  • BSW -2.0average 7.5
  • Freie Wähler -1.0average 3.5
  • Tierschutzpartei -0.5average 2.5
  • Die PARTEI -0.5average 1.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 29 seatsAfD: 20 seatsSPD: 16 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsFDP: 6 seatsBSW: 5 seatsLinke: 4 seatsFreie Wähler: 2 seatsTierschutzpartei: 2 seatsDie PARTEI: 1 seatPiraten: 0 seatsFamilie: 0 seatsVolt: 0 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU29
  • AfD20
  • SPD16
  • Grüne11
  • FDP6
  • BSW5
  • Linke4
  • Freie Wähler2
  • Tierschutzpartei2
  • Die PARTEI1
  • Piraten0
  • Familie0
  • Volt0
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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