Single poll

INSA poll of 10 April 2024 for the European election

Commissioned by
t-online
Fieldwork period
5 to 8 Apr 2024
Respondents
2,100
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU28.5%±0
  • AfD19.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.5%+0.5
  • Grüne11.5%+0.5
  • BSW6.5%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%-0.5
  • Freie Wähler3.0%+0.5
  • Tierschutzpartei2.0%±0
  • Others4.0%+2.5

Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Mar 2024.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.5%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 2,100 people were surveyed from 5 to 8 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by t-online.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Mar 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.8 points lower and AfD 3.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -3.8average 15.3
  • AfD +3.3average 15.7
  • CDU/CSU -3.0average 31.5
  • FDP +1.7average 3.3
  • SPD +1.5average 15.0
  • Linke +1.3average 2.7
  • Tierschutzpartei -0.5average 2.5
  • BSW +0.3average 6.2
  • Freie Wähler -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.

CDU/CSU: 29 seatsAfD: 19 seatsSPD: 17 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsBSW: 6 seatsFDP: 5 seatsLinke: 4 seatsFreie Wähler: 3 seatsTierschutzpartei: 2 seatsMajority from 4996of 96 seats
  • CDU/CSU29
  • AfD19
  • SPD17
  • Grüne11
  • BSW6
  • FDP5
  • Linke4
  • Freie Wähler3
  • Tierschutzpartei2
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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