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Pollster and election

INSA on the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

19 polls since 23 July 2017, the latest from 16 September 2026 for BILD. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has SPD +2.4 and BSW -1.0. House effect since 17 Sep 2024: SPD +1.4, AfD -0.9, Linke +0.6.

  • AfD37.0%+1.0
  • SPD35.0%+2.0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • CDU7.0%±0
  • Grüne5.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%-1.0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 10 Sep 2026.

This poll in detail

Trend

All INSA figures for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

010203040202420252026AfDSPDLinkeCDUGrüneBSW
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 14 Apr 2023 to 16 Sep 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

INSA before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 20 Sep 2026 (poll 16 Sep 2026)1.6 ptsbiggest miss Linke +3.5
  • Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 24 Sep 2021)0.6 ptsbiggest miss Linke +1.1
Archive

All 19 polls

INSA polls for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
PollsterPublishedAfDSPDLinkeCDUGrüneBSWOthers
INSA16 Sep 20263735107533
INSA10 Sep 20263633117544
INSA13 Aug 202636291110542
INSA22 Jun 202635281110463
INSA17 Mar 202634261012555
INSA28 Apr 202529211517567
INSA4 Dec 202427215195165
INSA25 Sep 202425204215176
INSA6 Jun 202425235206143
INSA6 Jul 2023292710186–6
INSA14 Apr 2023252811196–6
INSA29 Apr 2022183511166–8
INSA14 Feb 2022173611166–8
INSA24 Sep 2021174011137–7
INSA17 Sep 2021184011127–6
INSA15 Aug 2021172814188–8
INSA25 Jul 2021192613209–6
INSA1 Jul 2021192613208–5
INSA23 Jul 201720.531.513.5224.5–4.5

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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