Single poll

INSA poll of 14 February 2022 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Nordkurier
Fieldwork period
31 Jan 2022 to 7 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD36.0%-4.0
  • AfD17.0%±0
  • CDU16.0%+3.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Sep 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 36.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2022 to 7 Feb 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Sep 2021, SPD loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 6.0 points higher and CDU 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +6.0average 30.0
  • CDU -4.0average 20.0
  • Grüne -4.0average 10.0
  • Linke +3.0average 8.0
  • AfD -1.0average 18.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 28 seatsAfD: 13 seatsCDU: 12 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD28
  • AfD13
  • CDU12
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
  • Grüne5
  • SPD + AfD41 of 71
  • SPD + CDU40 of 71
  • SPD + Linke36 of 71
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne38 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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