Single poll

INSA poll of 24 September 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Cicero
Fieldwork period
20 to 24 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,058
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD40.0%±0
  • AfD17.0%-1.0
  • CDU13.0%+1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Sep 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 40.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,058 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Cicero.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Sep 2021, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.0average 6.0
  • CDU -0.9average 13.9
  • FDP -0.9average 5.9
  • AfD +0.7average 16.3
  • SPD +0.5average 39.5
  • Linke +0.5average 10.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 31 seatsAfD: 13 seatsCDU: 10 seatsLinke: 8 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsFDP: 4 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD31
  • AfD13
  • CDU10
  • Linke8
  • Grüne5
  • FDP4
  • SPD + AfD44 of 71
  • SPD + CDU41 of 71
  • SPD + Linke39 of 71
  • SPD + Grüne36 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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