Single poll

INSA poll of 17 September 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Nordkurier
Fieldwork period
10 to 16 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,064
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD40.0%+12.0
  • AfD18.0%+1.0
  • CDU12.0%-6.0
  • Linke11.0%-3.0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Aug 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 40.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,064 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Aug 2021, SPD gains 12.0 points, CDU loses 6.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 14.0
  • SPD +1.3average 38.7
  • Grüne +1.2average 5.8
  • AfD +0.7average 17.3
  • Linke +0.3average 10.7
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 30 seatsAfD: 14 seatsCDU: 9 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD30
  • AfD14
  • CDU9
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
  • Grüne5
  • SPD + AfD44 of 71
  • SPD + CDU39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke38 of 71
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne40 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.