Single poll

INSA poll of 15 August 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Nordkurier
Fieldwork period
6 to 12 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD28.0%+2.0
  • CDU18.0%-2.0
  • AfD17.0%-2.0
  • Linke14.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jul 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Aug 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jul 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 5.5 points lower and Linke 3.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -5.5average 23.5
  • Linke +3.5average 10.5
  • Grüne +2.0average 6.0
  • AfD -1.0average 18.0
  • FDP +1.0average 6.0
  • SPD -0.5average 28.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 22 seatsCDU: 14 seatsAfD: 13 seatsLinke: 11 seatsGrüne: 6 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD22
  • CDU14
  • AfD13
  • Linke11
  • Grüne6
  • FDP5
  • SPD + CDU36 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Linke46 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne41 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + FDP40 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + FDP38 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + Linke38 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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