Single poll

INSA poll of 25 July 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Nordkurier
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Jul 2021
Respondents
1,098
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD26.0%±0
  • CDU20.0%±0
  • AfD19.0%±0
  • Linke13.0%±0
  • Grüne9.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jul 2021.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,098 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Jul 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.5 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -3.5average 23.5
  • Grüne +3.0average 6.0
  • SPD -2.5average 28.5
  • Linke +2.5average 10.5
  • AfD +1.0average 18.0
  • FDP +1.0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 20 seatsCDU: 15 seatsAfD: 14 seatsLinke: 10 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD20
  • CDU15
  • AfD14
  • Linke10
  • Grüne7
  • FDP5
  • SPD + CDU + AfD49 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + Linke45 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Linke44 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + Grüne42 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne41 of 71
  • SPD + CDU + FDP40 of 71
  • SPD + AfD + FDP39 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + Linke39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne37 of 71
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne36 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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