INSA poll of 1 July 2021 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 30 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD26.0%-5.5
- CDU20.0%-2.0
- AfD19.0%-1.5
- Linke13.0%-0.5
- Grüne8.0%+3.5
- FDP6.0%+2.5
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jul 2017.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 21 to 30 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Jul 2017, SPD loses 5.5 points, Grüne gains 3.5 points, FDP gains 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 4.0 points lower and AfD 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.0average 12.0
- AfD +3.5average 15.5
- CDU -2.5average 22.5
- SPD +1.5average 24.5
- FDP +1.5average 4.5
- Linke -0.5average 13.5
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD20
- AfD15
- CDU15
- Linke10
- Grüne6
- FDP5
- SPD + AfD + CDU50 of 71
- SPD + AfD + Linke45 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke45 of 71
- SPD + AfD + Grüne41 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Grüne41 of 71
- SPD + AfD + FDP40 of 71
- SPD + CDU + FDP40 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Linke40 of 71
- SPD + Linke + Grüne36 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.