Single poll

INSA poll of 29 April 2022 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election

Commissioned by
Nordkurier
Fieldwork period
25 to 28 Apr 2022
Respondents
1,018
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD35.0%-1.0
  • AfD18.0%+1.0
  • CDU16.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Grüne6.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Feb 2022.

In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,018 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Apr 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Feb 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 3.0 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.0average 32.0
  • Grüne -2.5average 8.5
  • CDU -2.0average 18.0
  • AfD +1.0average 17.0
  • Linke +1.0average 10.0
  • FDP +0.5average 5.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 27 seatsAfD: 14 seatsCDU: 12 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 3671of 71 seats
  • SPD27
  • AfD14
  • CDU12
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
  • Grüne5
  • SPD + AfD41 of 71
  • SPD + CDU39 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + FDP40 of 71
  • SPD + Linke + Grüne40 of 71
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne37 of 71
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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