INSA poll of 14 April 2023 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 11 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD28.0%-7.0
- AfD25.0%+7.0
- CDU19.0%+3.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- Grüne6.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Apr 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 11 Apr 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 29 Apr 2022, SPD loses 7.0 points, AfD gains 7.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.5 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.5average 22.5
- Grüne -2.5average 8.5
- CDU +1.5average 17.5
- FDP +1.0average 4.0
- SPD +0.5average 27.5
- Linke -0.5average 11.5
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD21
- AfD19
- CDU14
- Linke8
- Grüne5
- FDP4
- SPD + AfD40 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke43 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Linke41 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Grüne40 of 71
- SPD + CDU + FDP39 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne38 of 71
- AfD + CDU + FDP37 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.