INSA poll of 6 July 2023 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Jun 2023 to 3 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD29.0%+4.0
- SPD27.0%-1.0
- CDU18.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- Grüne6.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 26 Jun 2023 to 3 Jul 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Apr 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 8.0 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +8.0average 21.0
- Grüne -3.0average 9.0
- Linke -2.0average 12.0
- SPD ±0average 27.0
- CDU ±0average 18.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD23
- SPD21
- CDU14
- Linke8
- Grüne5
- AfD + SPD44 of 71
- AfD + CDU37 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke43 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Grüne40 of 71
- AfD + Linke + Grüne36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.