INSA poll of 6 June 2024 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 27 May 2024 to 3 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD25.0%-4.0
- SPD23.0%-4.0
- CDU20.0%+2.0
- BSW14.0%
- Grüne6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-5.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others3.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jul 2023.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 27 May 2024 to 3 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jul 2023, Linke loses 5.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points higher and BSW 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 20.5
- BSW +2.0average 12.0
- Grüne -1.5average 7.5
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- AfD -0.5average 25.5
- Linke -0.5average 5.5
- CDU ±0average 20.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD19
- SPD17
- CDU15
- BSW11
- Grüne5
- Linke4
- AfD + SPD36 of 71
- AfD + CDU + BSW45 of 71
- SPD + CDU + BSW43 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne39 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Linke38 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Grüne37 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.