Single poll
INSA poll of 25 September 2024 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 23 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Sep 2024, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Jun 2024, SPD loses 3.0 points, BSW gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 5.0 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +5.0average 12.0
- Grüne -2.5average 7.5
- Linke -1.5average 5.5
- CDU +1.0average 20.0
- FDP -1.0average 3.0
- AfD -0.5average 25.5
- SPD -0.5average 20.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD20
- CDU17
- SPD16
- BSW14
- Grüne4
- AfD + CDU37 of 71
- AfD + SPD36 of 71
- CDU + SPD + BSW47 of 71
- AfD + BSW + Grüne38 of 71
- CDU + SPD + Grüne37 of 71
More
More polls
← INSA, 6 Jun 2024INSA, 4 Dec 2024 →Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaSunday question Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania2025 federal election in Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.