Single poll
INSA poll of 4 December 2024 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Nov 2024, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Sep 2024, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.0average 14.0
- AfD -1.0average 28.0
- SPD -1.0average 22.0
- Grüne +1.0average 4.0
- FDP -1.0average 3.0
- CDU ±0average 19.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD21
- SPD16
- CDU14
- BSW12
- Grüne4
- Linke4
- AfD + SPD37 of 71
- AfD + CDU + BSW47 of 71
- SPD + CDU + BSW42 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne39 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Linke39 of 71
- AfD + BSW + Grüne37 of 71
- AfD + BSW + Linke37 of 71
More
More polls
← INSA, 25 Sep 2024INSA, 28 Apr 2025 →Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaSunday question Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania2025 federal election in Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.