INSA poll of 28 April 2025 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 15 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%+2.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- CDU17.0%-2.0
- Linke15.0%+10.0
- BSW6.0%-10.0
- Grüne5.0%±0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Dec 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Dec 2024, Linke gains 10.0 points, BSW loses 10.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 7.5 points higher and BSW 3.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +7.5average 7.5
- BSW -3.5average 9.5
- Grüne -1.5average 6.5
- AfD -0.5average 29.5
- SPD -0.5average 21.5
- CDU +0.5average 16.5
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD22
- SPD16
- CDU13
- Linke11
- BSW5
- Grüne4
- AfD + SPD38 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Linke46 of 71
- AfD + CDU + BSW40 of 71
- SPD + CDU + Linke40 of 71
- AfD + CDU + Grüne39 of 71
- AfD + Linke + BSW38 of 71
- AfD + Linke + Grüne37 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.