Single poll
INSA poll of 13 August 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD36.0%+1.0
- SPD29.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- CDU10.0%±0
- Grüne5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-2.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others2.0%-1.0
36.0%
+1.0
AfD
29.0%
+1.0
SPD
11.0%
±0
Linke
10.0%
±0
CDU
5.0%
+1.0
Grüne
4.0%
-2.0
BSW
3.0%
±0
FDP
2.0%
-1.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jun 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Jun 2026, BSW loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.0average 12.0
- CDU +1.0average 9.0
- FDP +1.0average 2.0
- AfD ±0average 36.0
- SPD ±0average 29.0
- Grüne ±0average 5.0
- BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD28
- SPD23
- Linke8
- CDU8
- Grüne4
- AfD + SPD51 of 71
- AfD + Linke36 of 71
- AfD + CDU36 of 71
- SPD + Linke + CDU39 of 71
More
More polls
← INSA, 22 Jun 2026INSA, 10 Sep 2026 →Average of all pollsters: Mecklenburg-Western PomeraniaChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.