INSA poll of 22 June 2026 for the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state election
- Commissioned by
- Nordkurier
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD35.0%+1.0
- SPD28.0%+2.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- CDU10.0%-2.0
- BSW6.0%+1.0
- Grüne4.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others3.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Mar 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 35.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by Nordkurier.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Mar 2026, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 3.0 points higher and AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.0average 25.0
- AfD -1.5average 36.5
- CDU -1.5average 11.5
- Linke -1.0average 12.0
- BSW +1.0average 5.0
- FDP +1.0average 2.0
- Grüne ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
71 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD27
- SPD22
- Linke9
- CDU8
- BSW5
- AfD + SPD49 of 71
- AfD + Linke36 of 71
- AfD + CDU + BSW40 of 71
- SPD + Linke + CDU39 of 71
- SPD + Linke + BSW36 of 71
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.