Single poll

INSA poll of 23 October 2017 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
9 to 13 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,002
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU31.0%-6.0
  • Linke20.0%-2.0
  • AfD20.0%+2.0
  • SPD13.0%+2.0
  • FDP7.0%+2.0
  • Grüne4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Aug 2017.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Linke on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Aug 2017, CDU loses 6.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 7.0 points lower and AfD 7.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -7.0average 27.0
  • AfD +7.0average 13.0
  • CDU -6.0average 37.0
  • SPD +3.0average 10.0
  • FDP +3.0average 4.0
  • Grüne -1.0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 30 seatsLinke: 19 seatsAfD: 19 seatsSPD: 13 seatsFDP: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • CDU30
  • Linke19
  • AfD19
  • SPD13
  • FDP7
  • CDU + Linke49 of 88
  • CDU + AfD49 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD51 of 88
  • CDU + SPD + FDP50 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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