Single poll

INSA poll of 30 July 2020 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
20 to 27 Jul 2020
Respondents
1,072
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke35.0%±0
  • CDU22.0%±0
  • AfD21.0%-1.0
  • SPD9.0%±0
  • Grüne6.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jun 2020.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 35.0%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,072 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Jul 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jun 2020, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 9.5 points higher and Linke 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +9.5average 12.5
  • Linke -3.0average 38.0
  • AfD -3.0average 24.0
  • SPD -0.5average 9.5
  • Grüne ±0average 6.0
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 33 seatsCDU: 21 seatsAfD: 20 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke33
  • CDU21
  • AfD20
  • SPD8
  • Grüne6
  • Linke + CDU54 of 88
  • Linke + AfD53 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + SPD49 of 88
  • Linke + SPD + Grüne47 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne47 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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