Single poll

INSA poll of 2 April 2020 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
25 to 31 Mar 2020
Respondents
1,018
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke37.0%-1.0
  • AfD23.0%-2.0
  • CDU18.0%+3.0
  • SPD7.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Mar 2020.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 37.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,018 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Mar 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Mar 2020, CDU gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 3.4 points higher and SPD 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +3.4average 33.6
  • SPD -2.1average 9.1
  • CDU -0.5average 18.5
  • FDP -0.5average 4.5
  • Grüne +0.4average 6.6
  • AfD -0.1average 23.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 35 seatsAfD: 22 seatsCDU: 17 seatsSPD: 7 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke35
  • AfD22
  • CDU17
  • SPD7
  • Grüne7
  • Linke + AfD57 of 88
  • Linke + CDU52 of 88
  • Linke + SPD + Grüne49 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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