Single poll

INSA poll of 21 May 2020 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
14 to 19 May 2020
Respondents
1,010
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke34.0%-3.0
  • AfD22.0%-1.0
  • CDU21.0%+3.0
  • SPD8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Apr 2020.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 14 to 19 May 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Apr 2020, Linke loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.5average 18.5
  • AfD -1.1average 23.1
  • SPD -1.1average 9.1
  • FDP +0.5average 4.5
  • Linke +0.4average 33.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 6.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 31 seatsAfD: 20 seatsCDU: 19 seatsSPD: 7 seatsGrüne: 6 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke31
  • AfD20
  • CDU19
  • SPD7
  • Grüne6
  • FDP5
  • Linke + AfD51 of 88
  • Linke + CDU50 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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