Single poll

INSA poll of 13 July 2023 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
3 to 10 Jul 2023
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • AfD32.0%+4.0
  • Linke22.0%±0
  • CDU20.0%-1.0
  • SPD10.0%-1.0
  • Grüne5.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Apr 2023.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 32.0%, followed by Linke on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 10 Jul 2023, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Apr 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP -1.0average 5.0
  • CDU +0.7average 19.3
  • Linke -0.5average 22.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 4.5
  • AfD ±0average 32.0
  • SPD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 31 seatsLinke: 22 seatsCDU: 20 seatsSPD: 10 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD31
  • Linke22
  • CDU20
  • SPD10
  • Grüne5
  • AfD + Linke53 of 88
  • AfD + CDU51 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + SPD52 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne47 of 88
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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