Single poll
INSA poll of 12 November 2019 for the Hamburg state election
- State
- Hamburg
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 Oct 2019 to 4 Nov 2019
- Respondents
- 1,020
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,020 people were surveyed from 23 Oct 2019 to 4 Nov 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 4.0 points lower and CDU 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -4.0average 29.0
- CDU +2.0average 15.0
- AfD -1.5average 9.5
- Grüne +1.0average 25.0
- Linke +1.0average 11.0
- FDP +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne33
- SPD32
- CDU21
- Linke15
- FDP10
- AfD10
- Grüne + SPD65 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke69 of 121
- SPD + CDU + Linke68 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + FDP64 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + AfD64 of 121
- SPD + CDU + FDP63 of 121
- SPD + CDU + AfD63 of 121
More
More polls
INSA, 19 Feb 2020 →Average of all pollsters: HamburgSunday question Hamburg2025 federal election in HamburgChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.