INSA poll of 7 September 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,039
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU29.0%-4.0
- SPD24.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- AfD14.0%+3.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Freie Wähler1.5%
- Others2.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 May 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,039 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 May 2018, CDU loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.0average 31.0
- AfD +1.1average 12.9
- Grüne +0.5average 13.5
- SPD +0.4average 23.6
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- FDP -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU33
- SPD28
- Grüne16
- AfD16
- Linke9
- FDP8
- CDU + SPD61 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD65 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD60 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke58 of 110
- CDU + AfD + Linke58 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP57 of 110
- CDU + AfD + FDP57 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.