Single poll

INSA poll of 17 May 2018 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
9 to 16 May 2018
Respondents
1,000
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU33.0%
  • SPD24.0%
  • Grüne13.0%
  • AfD11.0%
  • Linke8.0%
  • FDP7.0%
  • Others4.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.3average 31.7
  • SPD -0.7average 24.7
  • FDP -0.7average 7.7
  • Grüne -0.3average 13.3
  • AfD +0.3average 10.7
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 38 seatsSPD: 27 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 13 seatsLinke: 9 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU38
  • SPD27
  • Grüne15
  • AfD13
  • Linke9
  • FDP8
  • CDU + SPD65 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD66 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP61 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + Linke60 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + FDP59 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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