INSA poll of 23 October 2018 for the Hesse state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU26.0%-3.0
- SPD21.0%-3.0
- Grüne21.0%+7.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Freie Wähler2.0%+0.5
- Others2.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Sep 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Sep 2018, Grüne gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.9 points higher and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 19.1
- SPD -1.6average 22.6
- CDU -1.5average 27.5
- AfD +0.4average 12.6
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU30
- SPD24
- Grüne24
- AfD15
- Linke9
- FDP8
- CDU + SPD + Grüne78 of 110
- CDU + SPD + AfD69 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + AfD69 of 110
- CDU + SPD + Linke63 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + Linke63 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + AfD63 of 110
- CDU + SPD + FDP62 of 110
- CDU + Grüne + FDP62 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + Linke57 of 110
- SPD + Grüne + FDP56 of 110
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.