Single poll

INSA poll of 13 June 2024 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
3 to 11 Jun 2024
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU31.0%-1.0
  • AfD30.0%+1.0
  • BSW13.0%+3.0
  • SPD7.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Grüne4.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Apr 2024.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 30.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 11 Jun 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Apr 2024, BSW gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 10.0 points lower and CDU 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW -10.0average 23.0
  • CDU +2.5average 28.5
  • AfD +2.5average 27.5
  • SPD +2.5average 4.5
  • Linke +1.5average 3.5
  • Grüne -0.5average 4.5
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 30 seatsAfD: 29 seatsBSW: 12 seatsSPD: 7 seatsLinke: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU30
  • AfD29
  • BSW12
  • SPD7
  • Linke5
  • CDU + AfD59 of 83
  • CDU + BSW42 of 83
  • AfD + BSW + SPD48 of 83
  • AfD + BSW + Linke46 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + Linke42 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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