INSA poll of 5 July 2024 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Jun 2024 to 2 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%-1.0
- CDU29.0%-2.0
- BSW16.0%+3.0
- SPD8.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Grüne4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jun 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 24 Jun 2024 to 2 Jul 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jun 2024, BSW gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 7.0 points lower and SPD 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -7.0average 23.0
- SPD +3.5average 4.5
- AfD +1.5average 27.5
- CDU +0.5average 28.5
- Grüne -0.5average 4.5
- Linke +0.5average 3.5
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD30
- CDU29
- BSW16
- SPD8
- AfD + CDU59 of 83
- AfD + BSW46 of 83
- CDU + BSW45 of 83
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.