Single poll

INSA poll of 23 July 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
14 to 21 Jul 2026
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • AfD41.0%±0
  • CDU24.0%+1.0
  • Linke14.0%+1.0
  • SPD5.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Grüne4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jul 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 41.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Jul 2026, method Online, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jul 2026, CDU gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 26.0
  • Linke +2.0average 12.0
  • SPD -2.0average 7.0
  • AfD ±0average 41.0
  • Grüne ±0average 4.0
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 40 seatsCDU: 24 seatsLinke: 14 seatsSPD: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD40
  • CDU24
  • Linke14
  • SPD5
  • AfD + CDU64 of 83
  • AfD + Linke54 of 83
  • AfD + SPD45 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + SPD43 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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