Single poll

INSA poll of 3 July 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
NIUS
Fieldwork period
23 to 30 Jun 2026
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • AfD41.0%-1.0
  • CDU23.0%-1.0
  • Linke13.0%±0
  • SPD6.0%±0
  • BSW5.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • Grüne4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 May 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 41.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 23 to 30 Jun 2026, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 May 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -3.0average 26.0
  • Linke +1.0average 12.0
  • SPD -1.0average 7.0
  • BSW +1.0average 4.0
  • AfD ±0average 41.0
  • Grüne ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 39 seatsCDU: 22 seatsLinke: 12 seatsSPD: 5 seatsBSW: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD39
  • CDU22
  • Linke12
  • SPD5
  • BSW5
  • AfD + CDU61 of 83
  • AfD + Linke51 of 83
  • AfD + SPD44 of 83
  • AfD + BSW44 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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